Season 27 Hall of Fame Voter’s Guide

21 03 2013

This voter’s guide is just going to use the basic stats/awards on the main screen of the player cards – I understand that a lot more advanced metrics can/should be used, but this is for ease of comparison. The potential nominees will be broken down into three sections, I’m sure there will be disagreements (and some value different metrics more than others, such as defense), that’s why we vote! (I’ve chosen to not list positions here but break-up into hitters and pitchers). Overall comments and predictions at the bottom.

First Tier (really clearly deserve to get in unless extreme voter apathy or voter bias):

Hitters:
Wiki Armas – .323 avg, 3282 hits, 589 HR, 241 SB – 11 AS, 3 MVP
Hootie Stewart – 3000 hits, 753 HR – 6AS, 2 MVP

Pitchers:

None

Second Tier (definitely should be considered and get a competitive number of votes):

Hitters:

Miguel Matos – 2706 hits, 565 HR – 9AS
Chris Offerman – 2773 hits, 524 HR – 7AS
Mike Ponson – 3064 hits, 547 HR, 323 SB – 6AS
Steve Thomas – .307 avg, 2776 hits, 636 HR – 6AS, 2 MVP
Dan Johnson – 490 HR, 305 SB – 7AS, 1 MVP, 4 GG

Pitchers:

Sammy Bennett – 2.94 ERA, 519 SV – 8AS
Mark Chase – 3.26 ERA, 473 SV – 10AS
Sammy Malone – 3.31 ERA, 501 SV – 9AS
Dave Newhan – 3.55 ERA, 216 wins, 2218 SO – 8AS
Alex Villano – 2.90 ERA, 529 SV – 8AS
Morrie Keller – 2.82 ERA, 460 SV – 7AS

Third Tier (likely will get a few votes but never enough momentum to get in):

Hitters:

Harold Cannon – 2755 hits, 388 HR, 596 SB – 6 AS
Steve Dewitt – .304 avg, 530 HR – 3AS, 2MVP
Tony Hernandez – 2607 hits, 604 SB – 7AS, 2 GG
Glen Judd – 564 HR – 5AS
Kelly Payne – 2304 hits, 591 HR – 5AS
George Rollins – 2680 hits, 623 HR – 2AS
Ronnie Stewart – 2232 hits, 589 HR – 2AS

Pitchers:

None

Overall Comments – This group is really dominated by power hitters and relievers, really a surprisingly weak crop of starting pitchers. 500 HR alone just doesn’t make a player standout in this group, it will likely take a combination of big homers and 3000 (or close) hits plus a pile of postseason awards to get in amongst this group.

Prediction – Armas and Hootie Stewart get in, all these good relievers steal votes from one another keeping any from getting in, if voters unite perhaps one of Ponson/Matos/Thomas gets in, with Ponson the most likely.





Season 27 Rule 5 Analysis and Summary

20 03 2013

The season 27 rule 5 draft featured 17 first round picks. Pawtucket made the most picks of any franchise, going 5 rounds. Washington had three of its players taken in the first four picks (someone explain to the new Washington owner how to protect young players!) and had five total players taken. Detroit and Seattle lost four players each.

First round pick analysis (just one person’s opinion, feel free to disagree!)

1. Rochester – Tony Hudek – SP – a mid-rotation SP who is close to his projecteds, can be immediately inserted into the rotation

2. Pawtucket – Santiago Silva – LF/1b – best rule 5 bat available, potential all-star who can slug and hit for average

3. Las Vegas – Jeremy Andrew – RP – great splits, bad control, good durability, with good control he’d be a star

4. San Fran – Stephen Avery – SP – close to his projected with average splits, a bottom of the rotation or long relief candidate

5. Louisville – Ivan Cedeno – RP – will eventually be strong against lefties, average against righties, better long-term potential

6. Florida – Harry Valenzuela –  RP – 35 y/o 8 year ML vet with a 4.8 million salary – expensive for a set-up guy but solid ratings across the board except for velocity

7. Seattle – Jon Ogea – SP – perhaps the best SP potential of any pitcher but several years away from being a top of the rotation guy

9. Philadelphia – Andrea Butler – CF/2b – girly name, great contact, average but solid elsewhere, a nice long-term role player

10. Ottawa – Geraldo Javier – SP – currently not good enough to be in the bigs, potentially a long relief guy or maybe bottom rotation SP in a pitcher’s park

11. Salem – Dick Hooper – SS – best SS in the draft, great fielder which makes up for a bat that is contact and not much else, great stolen base potential

14. Minnesota – Johnny Wallace – C – above average bat against lefthanders, good potential arm with average pitch calling

16. Texas – Chet Kline – 2b/COF – a guy whose defense doesn’t fit a position well, above average bat but excels in nothing

21. Monterrey – Russell Foster – SS – at 26 nice projected defense but likely won’t reach projecteds, mediocre but passable bat

22. St Louis – Tatsuya Funaki – SP – great projected overall but not good enough for the bigs yet, already on waivers

24. San Antonio – Nicholas Raben – COF – nice health and durability, not good enough for the Majors, likely ever

26. San Diego – Matty Giavotella – DH – great power/contact, great against lefties, average righties and average eye, should slug but strikeout a bunch

30. Trenton – TJ Hughes – SP – likely a long-relief guy, possibly bottom rotation as splits improve, lacking good pitches

Overall owners did a fairly decent job protecting players as likely only 2-3 of these guys (Silva, Hooper, Ogea) have all-star potential but certainly some nice roster fillers for teams in need





Shtickless HBD Blog Resurrected!

20 03 2013

After years of absence the Shtickless blog is back under new (season 26) commish vandydave’s direction. Ideally blog posts will become a regular occurrence with contributions from any interested owners.

Upcoming features –

–  Season 27 division previews (looking for one owner from each division to do the team by team preview)
– Season 27 Hall of Fame voting preview
– Season 27 free agency summary and analysis
– Season 27 rule 5 draft summary and analysis

And more. Or not.